Gold has emerged as one of the top-performing assets in 2025, with MCX gold prices surging over 50% year-to-date, driven by global economic uncertainty, central bank buying, and safe-haven demand. As of October 1, MCX December futures hit ₹1,18,444 per 10 grams, prompting investors to ask: Can gold touch ₹1,25,000 by December 2025?
What’s Driving the Rally?
US Federal Reserve Rate Cuts
The Fed reduced interest rates by 25 basis points in September and signaled more cuts ahead. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting demand.
Weakening US Dollar
Gold is priced in dollars globally. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for other currencies, increasing international buying.
Inflation & Geopolitical Tensions
Sticky inflation, US tariff uncertainties, and global trade disruptions have pushed investors toward gold as a hedge.
Central Bank Buying
Emerging market central banks have aggressively added gold to their reserves, supporting long-term price strength.
MCX Gold Price Snapshot – October 2025
Expert Outlook
SEBI-registered analyst Anuj Gupta believes gold may continue its upward trajectory, citing global uncertainty and Fed rate cuts. He forecasts MCX gold could reach ₹1,20,000–₹1,25,000 per 10 grams by year-end, though intermittent profit booking may occur.
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Final Takeaway
With gold prices already up over 50% in 2025, and MCX futures nearing ₹1,18,000, the possibility of hitting ₹1,25,000 per 10 grams by year-end looks increasingly realistic. Investors should watch Fed policy, inflation data, and global trade cues to time their entries wisely.