Indian Stock Market: 10 Overnight Changes to Watch – Gift Nifty, Trump Tariffs, US Shutdown

As trading resumes after a volatile global session, Indian investors wake up to a fresh set of cues that could shape market direction. From Gift Nifty signals to Trump’s tariff escalation and a looming US government shutdown, here are the 10 overnight developments that matter most.

Overnight Market Movers

1. Gift Nifty Signals Flat Start

Gift Nifty futures traded near 25,210, indicating a muted opening for Nifty 50 amid mixed global sentiment.

2. US Government Shutdown Risk

Budget negotiations stalled in Washington, raising fears of a partial shutdown. Risk-off mood may weigh on FIIs and global equities.

3. Trump’s Tariff Expansion

President Donald Trump announced fresh tariffs on Chinese electronics and Indian auto components, triggering concerns for export-heavy sectors.

4. Crude Oil Near $95

Brent crude remains elevated, posing inflation risks and pressure on oil-sensitive stocks like aviation, paints, and logistics.

5. Rupee Weakens to ₹88.45/USD

The currency slipped further overnight, raising import costs and impacting companies with dollar-denominated liabilities.

6. FII Outflows Continue

Foreign investors sold ₹1,820 crore worth of equities on Monday, extending their bearish stance amid global uncertainty.

7. US Bond Yields Spike

10-year Treasury yields hit 4.78%, prompting fears of tighter global liquidity and reduced risk appetite.

8. Asian Markets Mixed

Nikkei gained 0.4% while Hang Seng fell 0.6%, reflecting divergent regional reactions to US policy moves.

9. IPO Listings on Radar

Solarworld Energy and Pace Digitek are set to list today. Grey market premiums suggest modest gains, but volatility may impact debut sentiment.

10. RBI MPC Preview Buzz

Ahead of Friday’s policy announcement, speculation builds around rate stance and liquidity measures. Banking stocks may see early action.

What This Means for Traders

  • Expect cautious opening with sector-specific moves
  • Watch export-heavy stocks like IT, auto, and pharma for tariff impact
  • Track rupee-sensitive sectors including oil, infra, and FMCG
  • Stay nimble ahead of IPO listings and RBI commentary

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Final Takeaway

From global politics to domestic policy buzz, the Indian stock market faces a complex mix of overnight triggers. Traders should stay alert, manage risk, and focus on sectoral resilience as volatility continues.

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