Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been cautious in recent months, pulling back from Indian equities amid global volatility and domestic policy uncertainty. But according to Rajiv Batra, Managing Director at JPMorgan India, the tide could turn swiftly—if India clears three key hurdles.
Speaking at a financial summit in Mumbai on September 23, Batra outlined the roadmap for renewed FII inflows and long-term capital commitment.
The Three Hurdles India Must Overcome
1. Regulatory Clarity on Capital Gains and Taxation
FIIs remain wary of sudden changes in capital gains tax, especially on equity and debt instruments. Batra emphasized the need for predictable tax policy and stable compliance frameworks to restore investor confidence.
2. Currency Stability
With the rupee hitting a record low of ₹88.37/USD, currency risk has become a major deterrent. FIIs seek monetary discipline and FX reserve transparency to hedge against volatility and protect returns.
3. Ease of Exit and Repatriation
Batra highlighted operational bottlenecks in capital repatriation, especially for long-term funds. Streamlining exit routes and reducing delays in fund transfers could significantly improve India’s investment appeal.
Current FII Sentiment Snapshot
- Net FII outflows in September: ₹12,800 crore
- Sectors facing pressure: IT, financials, consumer durables
- Sectors with resilience: Energy, infra, select midcaps
- Preferred instruments: REITs, InvITs, and sovereign bonds
Despite short-term caution, JPMorgan expects selective re-entry by FIIs in Q4 2025, especially if macro indicators stabilize.
What This Means for Indian Markets
- Equity valuations may remain range-bound until clarity emerges
- Bond yields could soften if FIIs return to debt instruments
- Midcap and infra stocks may benefit from early FII accumulation
- Policy announcements during the festive quarter will be closely watched
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Final Takeaway
India’s ability to attract foreign capital hinges on regulatory clarity, currency stability, and ease of exit. As Rajiv Batra points out, clearing these hurdles could unlock billions in FII inflows—reviving sentiment and powering the next leg of market growth.
